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Asian markets track Wall St down as recession worries return

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Equity markets are suffering a Christmas chill owing to concerns about rising interest rates and a possible recession./AFP
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Dec 23, 2022 - 12:07 PM

HONG KONG, CHINA — Asian markets fell again Friday after forecast-beating US data fuelled expectations that the Federal Reserve will lift interest rates well into next year.

A glum warning from top chipmaker Micron and worries about China’s surging Covid cases added to the less-than-Christmassy mood on trading floors.

Investors have been on a rollercoaster ride this month with slowing inflation and an easing of monetary policy hikes offset by central bank warnings that borrowing costs will likely have to go higher than expected.

Those worries were increased by the Bank of Japan’s shock decision this week to move away from its ultra-loose monetary policy, increasing bets on an even more restrictive investment environment in 2023.

Wall Street’s three main indexes ended well in the red Thursday after revised figures showed the world’s biggest economy grew a lot more in July-September than first thought, while jobless claims rose less than expected last week.

The readings suggested that despite almost a year of rate hikes and soaring inflation, activity remained strong and the Fed had much more work to do.

That came as Micron Technology said the industry’s worst supply glut for more than 10 years meant it would struggle to return to profit next year.

It also saw a big drop in sales and a heftier loss than forecast this quarter.

“The Grinch selloff is firmly in place after Micron delivered a gloomy outlook and as better-than-expected US economic data supported the Fed’s case for more ongoing rate increases,” said OANDA’s Edward Moya.

“Global coordinated central bank tightening has yet to fully impact most of the economic readings for the major economies and that should have investors nervous over earnings downgrades and credit risks.”

Covid surge in China 

The losses in New York extended into Asia.

Tokyo shed one percent as data showing Japanese inflation hitting a 41-year high reinforced expectations that the country’s central bank will lift interest rates next year.

Hong Kong, Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Mumbai, Bangkok, Singapore, Wellington, Taipei, Manila and Jakarta were also well down.

London was flat at the open while Paris and Frankfurt edged up.

“The consumer has a lot more strength than I think what the market was pricing in,” Priya Misra, of TD Securities, told Bloomberg Television.

“When the accumulated savings they’ve had since Covid, when that runs out, which we think happens by the middle of next year, that’s when consumer spending slows down.”

Hopes that China’s growth will surge as it rolls back its zero-Covid strategy have been overshadowed by a surge in cases across the country that has kept people at home, and battered travel and economic activity.

“The spike in Covid-19 infection rates following the easing of mobility restrictions will still constrain economic activity in the December-January time frame,” said Guan Yi Low, at M&G Investments.

Still, expectations that demand for crude will pick up in the new year, as well as a drop in US stockpiles, is providing healthy support to the commodity, with both main contracts rising about five percent this week.

Key figures around 0820 GMT 

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.0 percent at 26,235.25 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.4 percent at 19,593.06 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.3 percent at 3,045.87 (close)

London – FTSE 100: FLAT at 7,470.37

Dollar/yen: UP at 132.60 yen from 132.36 yen on Thursday

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0619 from $1.0598

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2061 from $1.2036

Euro/pound: UP at 88.05 pence from 88.02 pence

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.9 percent at $78.22 per barrel

Brent North Sea crude: UP 0.8 percent at $81.61 per barrel

New York – DOWN 1.1 percent at 33,027.49 (close)

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